Wide-Swordfish-Latitude
0xc8a4337850be801fcf6a0a2c257085895cd8c97f
Wide-Swordfish-Latitude: −$14K on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 13% (95% range 6%–27%). Skill or luck: worse than the odds.
Profit
−$14K
return −53.0%
Settled bets
38
$26K staked
Won
13.2%
95% range 6%–27%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Worse than the odds. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$14K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 62¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 55¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | $1.9K |
| Oct 7 | SELL FlyQuest
@ 99.9¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: GAM Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Maple Leafs
@ 54¢
Predators vs. Maple Leafs |
Predators vs. Maple Leafs | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Hurricanes
@ 96¢
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens |
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | $2.7K |
| Oct 6 | SELL 1WIN
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Joel Schwaerzler
@ 40¢
Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler |
Villena: Felix Balshaw vs Joel Schwaerzler | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.