Miniature-Hobbit
0x73f4626e71a9455bbe0e36de57019fcfa678158e
Miniature-Hobbit: +$1.2K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 80% (95% range 55%–93%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.2K
return +4.4%
Settled bets
15
$28K staked
Won
80.0%
95% range 55%–93%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$1.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$955
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 75¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 91¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 89¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | $2.7K |
| Sep 24 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 90¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 23 | BUY 1win
@ 94¢
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Pipsqueak+4
@ 77¢
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 18 | BUY MOUZ
@ 68¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 11 | BUY MIBR
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.