Immaculate-Eleventh

0x23cb737291afa36d7e8e1a23e3fd37b667da80d0

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Immaculate-Eleventh: +$13K on 52 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 65% (95% range 52%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$13K
return +10.2%
Settled bets
52
$125K staked
Won
65.4%
95% range 52%–77%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 47 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$11K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$2.9K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 BUY PARIVISION @ 79¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $1.7K
Oct 9 BUY Aurora @ 68¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $4.1K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 98¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 97¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $5.0K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 77¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 72¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 66¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Oct 9 BUY PARIVISION @ 75¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed