Wild-Plough-Brocolli
Skill vs luck
Wild-Plough-Brocolli on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$6.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wild-Plough-Brocolli: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x083498f10e1994094f2dfd3be2424949d8fb0980. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wild-Plough-Brocolli: −$6.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$6.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY 1win @ 42¢ | Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 23 | SELL OG @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $8.1K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 77¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A |
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A | $4.8K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?