Plain-Attitude
0x4aec70021891ea712aaf3e2dd76c30f6b09a4ce9
Plain-Attitude: +$24K on 91 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 76% (95% range 66%–84%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$24K
return +9.8%
Settled bets
91
$248K staked
Won
75.8%
95% range 66%–84%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 80 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$16K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$297
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$8.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 77¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 70¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 70¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 68¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 63¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 63¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 69¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 93¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.