Humiliating-Towtruck-Gunpowder

0xef7c9b776254196bf11b481685bbd058e4118f21

Skill vs luck

Humiliating-Towtruck-Gunpowder on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 11% (95% range 2%–44%) · profit −$2.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Humiliating-Towtruck-Gunpowder: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xef7c9b776254196bf11b481685bbd058e4118f21. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Humiliating-Towtruck-Gunpowder: −$2.4K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 11% (95% range 2%–44%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

−$2.4K

return —

Settled bets

$0 staked

Won

11.1%

95% range 2%–44%

Mostly bets on

esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Oct 7 – Oct 24: −$2.4K

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.2% (2,187 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 23	SELL HULIGANI @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	$6.3K
Oct 23	SELL GamerLegion @ 87¢ Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗	$1.1K
Oct 23	SELL GamerLegion @ 48¢ Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗	$1.2K
Oct 22	SELL Zero Tenacity @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	$6.6K
Oct 22	SELL CyberHero @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: CyberHero vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	$1.5K
Oct 22	SELL HULIGANI @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	$8.9K
Oct 22	SELL HULIGANI @ 62¢ Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	$1.2K
Oct 22	SELL Team Yandex @ 99.9¢ Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗	$4.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed