Polymarket market · Esports

Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Resolved: Conventus Stellarum won · See it on Polymarket ↗

28 whales put $72K into this market since Sep 20, 55% of their buying on Conventus Stellarum. Conventus Stellarum won. Of the 23 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$15K and 11 lost −$23K: −$8.0K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 28
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Forked-Settler
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.1K —
Dearest-Urge
303 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 56¢ $5.1K — −$661
Unwieldy-Stick-Acetate
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 99.81¢ $5.1K — +$10
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 53¢ $5.0K — +$4.4K
0x613c…30fb
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 52¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
Jumbo-Majorleague-Hypothermia
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 48¢ $3.9K — −$3.9K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Conventus Stellarum @ 61¢ $3.2K — +$2.1K
Finished-Cholesterol
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Flawless-Battalion
4 settled bets Too few bets
Conventus Stellarum @ 83¢ $1.4K $1.6K +$274
Straight-Eveningwear-Gerbil
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 40¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Legal-Booster
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 53¢ $2.6K — +$2.3K
Fat-Solidarity
87 settled bets Worse than the odds
Xtreme Gaming @ 45¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Outgoing-Plow-Astronomy
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 47¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Other-Laboratory
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 53¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Zealous-Tadpole
30 settled bets Beat the odds*
Conventus Stellarum @ 55¢ $2.2K — +$1.8K
Entire-Inn
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 54¢ $2.2K — +$1.9K
Safe-Weight
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 80¢ $1.9K — +$490
Mealy-Collaboration
248 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 54¢ $1.7K — +$1.4K
Damp-Possibility
162 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 52¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Conventus Stellarum @ 85¢ $1.4K — +$247
Known-Hydrolyse
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 99¢ $1.4K — +$14
Inborn-Chalice
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 21¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Reliable-Min
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 48¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Only-Scientist
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 70¢ $1.2K — +$495
Bouncy-Podcast-Origin
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Conventus Stellarum won
    $32K
    55% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $15K sold
  2. Xtreme Gaming lost
    $23K
    40% of whale buying · 10 buyers
  3. Conventus Stellarum lost
    $2.7K
    5% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed