Damp-Possibility
0xd3bc202269d0bbd1a158264be8f7e1e0f9e45bd2
Profit
−$28K
return −11.7%
Settled bets
149
$236K staked
Won
40.9%
95% range 33%–49%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 98 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$15K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$14K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$29K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | Sold Shopify Rebellion
at 99.9¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | $2.5K |
| Oct 7 | Bought Shopify Rebellion
at 38¢
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | Sold HANJIN BRION
at 99.9¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $4.4K |
| Oct 6 | Bought HANJIN BRION
at 68¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $3.0K |
| Oct 6 | Bought Natus Vincere
at 40¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.9K |
| Oct 5 | Bought JD Gaming
at 81¢
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 5 | Bought FlyQuest
at 58¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Oct 5 | Bought FlyQuest
at 82¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.