Reliable-Min
0xc646a607c992b4fff5b124d6ec8efd2dd970e394
Reliable-Min: +$16K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 82% (95% range 52%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$16K
return +72.7%
Settled bets
11
$21K staked
Won
81.8%
95% range 52%–95%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$6.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$1.5K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$11K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 25¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | $2.2K |
| Oct 2 | BUY OG
@ 63¢
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C |
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | $3.3K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Xtreme Gaming
@ 64¢
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Level UP vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 77¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 51¢
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 80¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $3.2K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Xtreme Gaming
@ 48¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Conventus Stellarum
@ 74¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.