0x613c…30fb
0x613c67c3db8a9d20beb30d56aeeb9c3d2a1430fb
0x613c…30fb: +$3.6K on 41 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 51% (95% range 37%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.6K
return +2.2%
Settled bets
41
$161K staked
Won
51.2%
95% range 37%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 40 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$6.7K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$3.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | BUY Eagles
@ 34¢
Spread: Eagles (-7.5) |
Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 47¢
Vikings vs. Buccaneers |
Vikings vs. Buccaneers | $2.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Chiefs
@ 65¢
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) |
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Bengals
@ 61¢
Bengals vs. Steelers |
Bengals vs. Steelers | $3.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 50¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $1.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 46¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $3.9K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 47¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $4.0K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Texas
@ 49¢
Spread: Texas (-5.5) |
Spread: Texas (-5.5) | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.