Outgoing-Plow-Astronomy
0x103721386ec40df5ab93df0bd0964e8fe70b5b09
Profit
−$1.3K
return −0.8%
Settled bets
51
$173K staked
Won
49.0%
95% range 36%–62%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 43 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$11K
Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$12K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | Bought Spirit
at 63¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) | $12K |
| Oct 6 | Bought Legacy
at 57¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $5.7K |
| Oct 6 | Bought LGD Gaming
at 45¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $6.1K |
| Oct 4 | Bought Team Liquid
at 49¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | Bought 1win
at 48¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs OG - Game 1 Winner | $3.8K |
| Oct 3 | Bought GamerLegion
at 36¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner | $5.9K |
| Oct 3 | Sold BNK FEARX
at 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $20K |
| Oct 3 | Bought JD Gaming
at 46¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $9.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.