Polymarket market · Esports

Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Resolved: Xtreme Gaming won · See it on Polymarket ↗

39 whales put $158K into this market since Sep 20, 53% of their buying on Conventus Stellarum. Xtreme Gaming won. Of the 28 whales whose whole position we captured, 17 made +$45K and 11 lost −$43K: +$1.5K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 39
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 47¢ $24K — −$24K
Straight-Eveningwear-Gerbil
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 50¢ $14K — +$2.0K
Zealous-Tadpole
30 settled bets Beat the odds*
Xtreme Gaming @ 49¢ $12K — +$13K
Safe-Weight
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 80¢ $6.8K $4.0K —
Straight-Recipient
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.0K —
Total-Cover-Author
188 settled bets Worse than the odds
Conventus Stellarum @ 51¢ $4.1K $1.6K —
Yellowish-Macadamia-Heroine
67 settled bets Worse than the odds
Xtreme Gaming @ 72¢ $4.7K — +$1.9K
Inborn-Chalice
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 51¢ $4.7K — +$1.5K
Immaculate-Eleventh
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 77¢ $4.5K — +$1.4K
Bouncy-Podcast-Origin
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.4K —
Miniature-Shadowbox-Blazer
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 31¢ $1.0K $3.2K —
Legal-Booster
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 48¢ $4.2K — −$4.2K
Honored-Cot
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 51¢ $4.0K — +$3.8K
Worthless-Researcher
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 45¢ $2.2K $1.6K —
Periodic-Garbage
126 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 56¢ $1.7K $2.0K +$324
0xf3ce…a57a
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 50¢ $3.6K — +$3.6K
French-Commuter
14 settled bets Too few bets
Xtreme Gaming @ 49¢ $2.3K $1.2K +$1.3K
Roasted-Invasion-Accomplishment
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 50¢ $3.0K — +$3.0K
Stylish-Pattypan
174 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 75¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Dearest-Urge
303 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Conventus Stellarum @ 60¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Legitimate-Director
18 settled bets Too few bets
Xtreme Gaming @ 48¢ $2.7K — +$2.9K
Important-Dissemination-Booking
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 52¢ $2.6K — +$2.4K
Unruly-Rocker
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.2K —
0x613c…30fb
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Xtreme Gaming @ 52¢ $2.2K — +$2.0K
Unacceptable-Sphynx
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.2K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Conventus Stellarum lost
    $65K
    53% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $8.4K sold
  2. Xtreme Gaming won
    $59K
    48% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $25K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed