Inborn-Chalice
0xde24e2c62876aef30b38779cd99d43edaccb4ded
Inborn-Chalice: +$6.7K on 105 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 44%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$6.7K
return +1.8%
Settled bets
105
$366K staked
Won
53.3%
95% range 44%–63%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 101 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$11K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$8.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$3.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 97¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $5.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 67¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $3.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 88¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY 1win
@ 54¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | $3.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Blasterbl
@ 46¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Yes
@ 84¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $5.5K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Yes
@ 89¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | $3.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 42¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.