Known-Hydrolyse
0x9055a9e36aa73274e3a92dc2dbb081bb4d9e756a
Known-Hydrolyse: −$2.7K on 114 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 75%–89%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$2.7K
return −1.0%
Settled bets
114
$281K staked
Won
83.3%
95% range 75%–89%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 94 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$5.5K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.7K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$4.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 94¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $2.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 98¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $4.9K |
| Oct 9 | SELL PARIVISION
@ 99¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 98¢
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner | $2.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 97¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Aurora
@ 89¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 96¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.