Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Resolved: MOUZ won · See it on Polymarket ↗
45 whales traded $188K on this market since Oct 27, 66% of their buying on Spirit. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.9¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. MOUZ won, with 35% of the whale buying on it. Of the 33 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$30K and 22 lost −$68K: −$38K between them. Biggest win: Imperturbable-Crow, +$7.8K on MOUZ. Biggest loss: Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement, −$13K on Spirit.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 45| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrathful-Row
284 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 88¢ | $12K | $4.6K | — |
| Reckless-Derivation
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 88¢ | $9.5K | $5.1K | −$4.5K |
| Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
504 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 56¢ | $13K | — | −$13K |
| Made-Up-Remnant
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MOUZ @ 55¢ | $3.5K | $7.7K | — |
| Colorless-Tenth-Accelerator
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MOUZ @ 73¢ | $4.0K | $5.5K | +$1.5K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,434 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Spirit @ 55¢ | $8.8K | — | −$8.8K |
| Delicious-Attacker
646 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 54¢ | $8.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Imperturbable-Crow
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MOUZ @ 47¢ | $7.0K | — | +$7.8K |
| Guilty-Aide
58 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Spirit @ 55¢ | $4.3K | $2.2K | −$2.1K |
| Unfinished-Rebellion
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Spirit @ 55¢ | $5.0K | $1.1K | −$3.9K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,275 settled bets Worse than the odds |
MOUZ @ 65¢ | $3.2K | $2.1K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
1,513 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MOUZ @ 46¢ | $4.5K | — | +$5.3K |
| Aged-Laughter
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MOUZ @ 44¢ | $3.0K | $1.4K | +$746 |
| Total-Cover-Author
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 40¢ | $3.2K | $1.0K | — |
| Bad-Cane
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $4.2K | — |
| Plush-Debate-Paddle
24 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.9K | — |
| Proper-Chair-Songbird
8 settled bets Too few bets |
Spirit @ 52¢ | $3.8K | — | −$3.8K |
| Terrible-Isolation-Birdhouse
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 57¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Testy-Survey
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 81¢ | $3.2K | — | −$3.2K |
| Mealy-Collaboration
308 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MOUZ @ 57¢ | $3.2K | — | +$2.3K |
| Utter-Grandparent-Coral
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 52¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Acceptable-Weather
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 36¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Clear-Cut-Particle-End
13 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.8K | — |
| Unfortunate-Liver
22 settled bets Too few bets |
MOUZ @ 48¢ | $2.6K | — | +$2.8K |
| Valid-Subtitle
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
MOUZ @ 46¢ | $2.5K | — | +$3.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Spirit lost$91K66% of whale buying · 25 buyers · $7.3K sold
-
MOUZ won$48K35% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $42K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $217K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | $52K | 7 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $53K | 12 | Won: FURIA | |
| Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | $226K | 21 | Won: fnatic | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | $83K | 17 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $431K | 66 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $88K | 21 | Won: Vitality | |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | $64K | 3 | Won: Vitality |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?