Imperturbable-Crow
0x4f0eaecdea458c5ec4a248ce6a8443975bae0200
Imperturbable-Crow: −$13K on 62 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 66% (95% range 54%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$13K
return −6.3%
Settled bets
62
$200K staked
Won
66.1%
95% range 54%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 58 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$29K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$14K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$3.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Spirit
@ 83¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY 100 Thieves
@ 65¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $6.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Paper Rex
@ 62¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY NRG
@ 70¢
Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: NRG vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $2.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 69¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 68¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | $5.0K |
| Oct 2 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 54¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY BIG
@ 60¢
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.