Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
Resolved: fnatic won · See it on Polymarket ↗
21 whales traded $226K on this market since Oct 26, 52% of their buying on Astralis. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 84% of the size there to buy. fnatic won, with 48% of the whale buying on it. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$92K and 7 lost −$77K: +$14K between them. Biggest win: Treasured-Parchment, +$42K on fnatic. Biggest loss: Rosy-Trinket, −$33K on Astralis.
The whales on this market
21 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soggy-Bibliography
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 50¢ | $6.9K | $47K | — |
| Treasured-Parchment
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
fnatic @ 46¢ | $36K | — | +$42K |
| Rosy-Trinket
156 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 53¢ | $33K | — | −$33K |
| Only-Gutter
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 50¢ | $27K | — | −$27K |
| Gregarious-Instrumentation
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
fnatic @ 44¢ | $16K | — | +$21K |
| Better-Military
175 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 48¢ | $1.9K | $11K | — |
| Sharp-Crisis-Opposite
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
fnatic @ 45¢ | $8.5K | — | +$10K |
| Wicked-Bull-Mover
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Astralis @ 51¢ | $6.7K | — | −$6.7K |
| Muddy-Ginger-Pelican
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Astralis @ 48¢ | $4.8K | — | −$4.8K |
| Winding-Road
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
fnatic @ 46¢ | $4.0K | — | +$4.7K |
| Misty-Request
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
fnatic @ 45¢ | $4.0K | — | +$4.9K |
| Intentional-Cane-Flow
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 50¢ | $3.6K | — | −$3.6K |
| Shoddy-Protocol
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Finished-Stinger-Shoestring
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
fnatic @ 50¢ | $2.3K | — | +$2.3K |
| Unpleasant-Sneaker
1 settled bets Too few bets |
fnatic @ 47¢ | $2.0K | — | +$2.3K |
| Delicious-Attacker
646 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
fnatic @ 98¢ | $1.5K | — | +$39 |
| Quick-Slippers
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
fnatic @ 48¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.6K |
| Functional-Experimentation
11 settled bets Too few bets |
fnatic @ 46¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.7K |
| Peppery-Hunter
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 57¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Scary-Edible
1,615 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astralis @ 47¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| First-Sousaphone
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
fnatic @ 51¢ | $1.0K | — | +$980 |
Where the whale money went
-
Astralis lost$86K52% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $31K sold
-
fnatic won$79K48% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $30K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 26 to Oct 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793170821).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $53K | 12 | Won: FURIA | |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $188K | 45 | Won: MOUZ | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | $217K | 21 | Open | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | $52K | 7 | Open | |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | $83K | 17 | Open | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | $431K | 66 | Open | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | $119K | 26 | Open | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | $166K | 48 | Open |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?