Testy-Survey

0x751be7122f148fba5aa2021ace98edc2001873fd

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Testy-Survey: +$4.8K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 56% (95% range 27%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$4.8K
return +16.2%
Settled bets
9
$29K staked
Won
55.6%
95% range 27%–81%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$6.3K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$7.4K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$5.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Team Falcons @ 69¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) $1.4K
Oct 9 BUY FURIA @ 40¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner $1.1K
Oct 6 BUY Natus Vincere @ 27¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner $2.1K
Sep 19 BUY MOUZ @ 57¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.6K
Sep 17 BUY FURIA @ 66¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $2.1K
Sep 12 SELL Anyones Legend @ 50¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $3.5K
Sep 10 BUY magic @ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic - Map 2 Winner $3.4K
Sep 6 BUY Invictus Gaming @ 80¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs $16K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed