Unfortunate-Liver
0x5460c344eec13616319df614e69abd6bca067d0e
Unfortunate-Liver: −$9.7K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 8% (95% range 2%–35%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$9.7K
return −72.7%
Settled bets
12
$13K staked
Won
8.3%
95% range 2%–35%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$9.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 18¢
Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? |
Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | $2.5K |
| Oct 9 | SELL
@ 99.71¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $13K |
| Oct 9 | BUY
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY
@ 44¢
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.9K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Team Falcons
@ 96¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $10K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Astralis
@ 84¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner | $2.4K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Hubert Hurkacz
@ 99¢
Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea |
Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea | $1.4K |
| Oct 1 | BUY FaZe
@ 39¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $3.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.