Close-Wording

0xc7285a98c485b4350ce50fa0b67f067693de3e5b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Close-Wording: −$4.0K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 22% (95% range 6%–55%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.0K
return −52.1%
Settled bets
9
$7.7K staked
Won
22.2%
95% range 6%–55%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 3
−$1
Sep 17 – Oct 1
−$2.8K
Oct 1 – Oct 15
−$1.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5% (2,043 positions).

In the live feed

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 15 SELL @ 99.72¢
CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 1.5 AND Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5 AND CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5 AND D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5 AND Nashville SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5 AND Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-14? AND Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-14?
CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 1.5 AND Inter Miami CF vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5 AND CF Montréal vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5 AND D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5 AND Nashville SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5 AND Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-14? AND Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-14? $17K
Oct 14 BUY @ 32¢
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 AND FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5 AND Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5 AND AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 AND FK Bodø/Glimt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5 AND Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5 AND AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? $4.8K
Oct 14 BUY @ 62¢
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?
LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? $4.9K
Oct 13 BUY Yes @ 51¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? $2.5K
Oct 12 BUY @ 43¢
Antigua GFC vs. CSD Cobán Imperial: O/U 1.5 AND Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5 AND Will América de Cali win on 2026-10-11?
Antigua GFC vs. CSD Cobán Imperial: O/U 1.5 AND Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5 AND Will América de Cali win on 2026-10-11? $5.3K
Oct 12 SELL Yes @ 86¢ Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ $3.4K
Oct 11 BUY @ 18¢
EC Bahia vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-10-11? AND Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-11?
EC Bahia vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-10-11? AND Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-11? $1.6K
Oct 11 SELL Yes @ 48¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792047640, computed 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792047640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed