Blind-Highway

0x2fa944dc56b2b6f99088122407f2d158aaaea486

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Blind-Highway: −$24K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 29%–77%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$24K
return −37.7%
Settled bets
13
$64K staked
Won
53.8%
95% range 29%–77%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$24K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 20 BUY No @ 73¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? $5.0K
Sep 20 BUY No @ 63¢
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-09-19? $3.8K
Sep 20 BUY No @ 68¢
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-19? $5.0K
Sep 19 BUY No @ 89¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-19? $4.2K
Sep 19 BUY No @ 80¢
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-19?
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-19? $5.0K
Sep 19 BUY No @ 65¢
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19?
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-19? $5.0K
Sep 19 BUY No @ 70¢
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19? $5.0K
Sep 19 BUY No @ 55¢
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19? $5.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed