Drab-Elk
Skill vs luck
Drab-Elk on Polymarket: 12 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–24%) · profit −$410. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Drab-Elk: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd682900a384110b7f5759d277ed5df32f4d12c16. Data CC BY 4.0.
Drab-Elk: −$410 on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–24%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- −$3
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$128
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$279
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 86¢ | Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5 |
CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5 | $2.6K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 |
Mexico vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 | $3.6K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
England vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 |
England vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | $3.6K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5 |
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5 | $1.6K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 |
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5 |
Nicaragua vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5 | $1.3K |
| Oct 4 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Egypt vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 |
Egypt vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?