Polymarket market · Sports

Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov

Resolved: Karen Khachanov won · See it on Polymarket ↗

35 whales traded $102K on this market since Nov 2, 80% of their buying on Karen Khachanov. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Karen Khachanov won, with 80% of the whale buying on it. Of the 25 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$18K and 5 lost −$12K: +$5.8K between them. Biggest win: Dapper-Pub-Warmth, +$3.2K on Karen Khachanov. Biggest loss: Fond-Tongue, −$3.4K on Denis Shapovalov.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 35
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Wrathful-Row
338 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 78¢ $6.1K $9.3K —
Irresponsible-Autumn
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 67¢ $7.5K — +$561
Hopeful-Subprime-Soliloquy
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 49¢ $2.9K $3.4K —
General-Nuke-Abrogation
10 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $6.0K —
Gloomy-Marxism-Idiom
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 85¢ $3.0K $1.8K —
Naughty-Tab
175 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 58¢ $2.2K $2.6K —
Dapper-Pub-Warmth
141 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 59¢ $4.6K — +$3.2K
Dirty-Premeditation-Elicit
8 settled bets Too few bets
Karen Khachanov @ 81¢ $1.9K $1.9K —
Wet-Casserole-Pressurization
13 settled bets Beat the odds*
Karen Khachanov @ 88¢ $3.7K — +$510
Fond-Tongue
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Denis Shapovalov @ 33¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Grateful-Chest
340 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Denis Shapovalov @ 39¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Used-Moose
59 settled bets Beat the odds*
Karen Khachanov @ 64¢ $3.0K — +$1.7K
Sorrowful-Ton
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 70¢ $2.6K — +$1.1K
Useless-Premier
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Denis Shapovalov @ 39¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Remorseful-Purchase
7 settled bets Too few bets
Karen Khachanov @ 61¢ $2.4K — +$1.5K
Discrete-Enclosure
6 settled bets Too few bets
Karen Khachanov @ 73¢ $1.0K $1.4K +$365
Celebrated-Halibut
3 settled bets Too few bets
Karen Khachanov @ 63¢ $2.2K — +$1.3K
Hollow-Filing
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 68¢ $2.0K — +$952
0xe98c…8792
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 64¢ $1.8K — +$1.0K
Worse-Glance
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 88¢ $1.5K — +$209
Euphoric-Morsel
15 settled bets Too few bets
Karen Khachanov @ 63¢ $1.5K — +$853
Curly-Dust
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 81¢ $1.4K — +$333
Mean-Recruit-Idea
135 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Denis Shapovalov @ 42¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,989 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karen Khachanov @ 67¢ $1.4K — +$682
0x62e5…f547
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Karen Khachanov won
    $57K
    80% of whale buying · 25 buyers · $25K sold
  2. Denis Shapovalov lost
    $14K
    20% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $5.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Nov 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793775663).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Suns vs. Warriors $72K 10 Won: Warriors
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Titouan Droguet $100K 27 Won: Alex Molcan
Hawks vs. Pacers $59K 12 Won: Hawks
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02? $101K 14 Won: Yes
Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp $53K 13 Won: Ugo Humbert
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? $315K 18 Won: No
Thunder vs. Cavaliers $67K 6 Settled
Spread: Rockets (-4.5) $122K 5 Won: Rockets
About this data · run 1793775663, computed 2026-11-04 07:01 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793775663 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed