Remorseful-Purchase
Skill vs luck
Remorseful-Purchase on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 57% (95% range 25%–84%) · profit −$4.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Remorseful-Purchase: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2ecb3055976168e95676dc12c10e2000e2d9ecb8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Remorseful-Purchase: −$4.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$6.8K
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$2.6K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Karen Khachanov @ 61¢ | Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov ↗ | $2.4K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Botic van de Zandschulp @ 40¢ | Rolex Paris Masters: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de Zandschulp ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Alex Molcan
@ 55¢
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier |
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier | $3.1K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Yes @ 66¢ | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | $1.2K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.