Euphoric-Morsel
Skill vs luck
Euphoric-Morsel on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 10%–70%) · profit +$1.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −6.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 20, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Euphoric-Morsel: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 20, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6888e548e47cfc9dc629376d86a41018add64c79. Data CC BY 4.0.
Euphoric-Morsel: +$1.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 4 – Sep 19
- +$1.0K
- Oct 4 – Oct 20
- +$455
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | SELL Lorenzo Musetti
@ 99.9¢
Lyon Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti |
Lyon Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | $7.4K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Alex Michelsen
@ 99.9¢
European Open: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex Michelsen |
European Open: Andrea Guerrieri vs Alex Michelsen | $6.7K |
| Oct 19 | SELL Marie Bouzkova @ 99.9¢ | Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova ↗ | $3.2K |
| Oct 19 | BUY Marie Bouzkova @ 85¢ | Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova ↗ | $2.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 |
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 | $4.6K |
| Sep 13 | SELL No
@ 99.14¢
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | $2.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes @ 67¢ | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | $2.6K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Yes @ 61¢ | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? ↗ | $1.6K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?