Dirty-Premeditation-Elicit

0xe0b01fa337f48b3792ae9e76f3665bfc4f3a5294

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Dirty-Premeditation-Elicit: −$913 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 25% (95% range 5%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$913
return −33.9%
Settled bets
4
$2.7K staked
Won
25.0%
95% range 5%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$33
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$142
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 BUY Hubert Hurkacz @ 95¢
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Hubert Hurkacz $2.7K
Sep 14 SELL Yes @ 97¢
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14? $1.1K
Sep 13 SELL Max Basing @ 99.9¢
Istanbul 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Max Basing
Istanbul 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Max Basing $1.1K
Aug 23 SELL Felix Balshaw @ 54¢
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorzny
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Sebastian Gorzny $1.2K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed