Wet-Casserole-Pressurization
Skill vs luck
Wet-Casserole-Pressurization on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 78% (95% range 45%–94%) · profit +$15K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Wet-Casserole-Pressurization: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa42715de4684e50955b6a36807b7d95e5ab27c1d. Data CC BY 4.0.
Wet-Casserole-Pressurization: +$15K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 78% (95% range 45%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$15K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes
@ 41¢
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? |
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02? | $2.1K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Patriots @ 76¢ | Patriots vs. Dolphins ↗ | $1.3K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes @ 30¢ | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? ↗ | $13K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Yes
@ 40¢
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? |
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? | $7.8K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Under
@ 53¢
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 4.5 Corners |
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 4.5 Corners | $4.3K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Under
@ 52¢
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 4.5 Corners |
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 4.5 Corners | $1.0K |
| Nov 1 | BUY Over
@ 52¢
Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 5.5 Corners |
Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 5.5 Corners | $1.5K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 30¢ | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? ↗ | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.