General-Nuke-Abrogation
Skill vs luck
General-Nuke-Abrogation on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$3. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “General-Nuke-Abrogation: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4c66ba155c0ec76b39988ca8891dafca61007ae1. Data CC BY 4.0.
General-Nuke-Abrogation: −$3 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$3
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic ↗ | $2.9K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?