Celebrated-Halibut
Skill vs luck
Celebrated-Halibut on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$1.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Celebrated-Halibut: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3dbeb8695d967818deca50b20a96a162304b2f54. Data CC BY 4.0.
Celebrated-Halibut: +$1.3K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 20 – Nov 4
- +$1.3K
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02? ↗ | $5.6K |
| Nov 2 | BUY Karen Khachanov @ 63¢ | Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Karen Khachanov ↗ | $2.2K |
| Nov 2 | SELL Leolia Jeanjean @ 99.9¢ | Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lucia Bronzetti ↗ | $2.5K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.