0xe98c…8792
0xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792
0xe98c…8792: −$460 on 43 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 26%–54%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$460
return −0.8%
Settled bets
43
$59K staked
Won
39.5%
95% range 26%–54%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 27 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$7.4K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$2.9K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$11K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL Adrian Mannarino
@ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | $2.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Troy
@ 55¢
Spread: Troy (-8.5) |
Spread: Troy (-8.5) | $2.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
@ 60¢
Antofagasta: Alex Barrena vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida |
Antofagasta: Alex Barrena vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Novak Djokovic
@ 63¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | $5.6K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz
@ 99.9¢
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Jiri Lehecka (+1.5) |
Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Jiri Lehecka (+1.5) | $3.3K |
| Oct 6 | SELL Chicago White Sox
@ 99.9¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | $4.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 56¢
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev |
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | $1.9K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Under
@ 55¢
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 55.5 |
Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 55.5 | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.