Polymarket market · Sports
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
Resolved: Frances Tiafoe won · See it on Polymarket ↗
26 whales put $175K into this market since Aug 20, 80% of their buying on Frances Tiafoe. Frances Tiafoe won. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 16 made +$40K and 6 lost −$18K: +$21K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 26| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zesty-Credit-Maniac
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 72¢ | $37K | $26K | +$7.4K |
| Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 92¢ | $18K | — | −$986 |
| Genuine-Risk
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 60¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Hilarious-Descent
15 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $9.7K | — |
| Courageous-Robin
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 50¢ | $9.3K | — | +$9.3K |
| Naughty-Tab
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 59¢ | $5.5K | $1.2K | — |
| Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Frances Tiafoe @ 56¢ | $6.2K | — | +$2.6K |
| Admired-Doubter
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 50¢ | $5.9K | — | +$5.9K |
| Lively-Stirfry
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 75¢ | $5.9K | — | +$2.0K |
| Snoopy-Feature
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 51¢ | $5.7K | — | +$5.4K |
| Unwelcome-Difficulty
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Frances Tiafoe @ 89¢ | $4.5K | — | +$550 |
| Enraged-Due
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 57¢ | $3.9K | — | +$3.0K |
| Cumbersome-Dock-Shield
58 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
| Taut-Horn
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 89¢ | $2.8K | — | +$346 |
| Dim-Holiday-Capability
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Frances Tiafoe @ 89¢ | $2.6K | — | +$316 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 50¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| Grave-Coconut
224 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 93¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | — |
| Adolescent-Apse
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 71¢ | $2.1K | — | +$870 |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Frances Tiafoe @ 74¢ | $1.7K | — | +$597 |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 52¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Mountainous-Beef
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 52¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Slow-Escape
336 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Frances Tiafoe @ 90¢ | $1.1K | — | +$125 |
| Smoggy-Veterinarian
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Frances Tiafoe @ 95¢ | $1.1K | — | +$53 |
| Long-Biopsy
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Lorenzo Musetti @ 52¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Sunny-Decisionmaking-Pocketbook
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Frances Tiafoe @ 74¢ | $1.0K | — | +$364 |
Where the whale money went
-
Frances Tiafoe won$107K80% of whale buying · 19 buyers · $39K sold
-
Lorenzo Musetti lost$22K17% of whale buying · 8 buyers
-
Frances Tiafoe lost$5.0K4% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $2.3K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Aug 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | $133K | 18 | Won: Philadelphia Phillies | |
| Jets vs. Steelers | $69K | 12 | Won: Jets | |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox | $79K | 9 | Won: Boston Red Sox | |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees | $72K | 12 | Won: New York Yankees | |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox | $91K | 14 | Won: Chicago White Sox | |
| Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyuk | $95K | 11 | Won: Coco Gauff | |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies | $52K | 5 | Won: Cleveland Guardians | |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers | $59K | 7 | Won: Texas Rangers |