Adolescent-Apse
0xb31e41965df4ab8014de4c4d8da9deff0a6ac120
Adolescent-Apse: −$23K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 39%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$23K
return −21.1%
Settled bets
26
$107K staked
Won
57.7%
95% range 39%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$17K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$2.8K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$2.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Jan-Lennard Struff
@ 41¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Elise Mertens
@ 65¢
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek |
China Open: Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek | $3.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alexander Blockx
@ 52¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx | $1.0K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Dalibor Svrcina
@ 93¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Yoshihito Nishioka vs Dalibor Svrcina |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Yoshihito Nishioka vs Dalibor Svrcina | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Katerina Siniakova
@ 50¢
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina |
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina | $1.0K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Rinko Matsuda
@ 52¢
China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda |
China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda | $1.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Nishesh Basavareddy
@ 99.9¢
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Dylan Dietrich |
San Diego 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Dylan Dietrich | $5.3K |
| Sep 21 | BUY Talia Gibson
@ 59¢
Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Fiona Ferro |
Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Fiona Ferro | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.