Yellowish-Molding
Skill vs luck
Yellowish-Molding on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 20% (95% range 4%–62%) · profit −$4.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Yellowish-Molding: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x99fc64e30de1d36502c984d69d3b81f39910ec26. Data CC BY 4.0.
Yellowish-Molding: −$4.0K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$26
- Sep 4 – Sep 19
- −$4.1K
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- −$7
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | SELL Valentin Vacherot @ 99.9¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot ↗ | $1.0K |
| Nov 1 | SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz ↗ | $5.8K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Filip Pieczonka
@ 83¢
Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti |
Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti | $1.3K |
| Sep 7 | BUY Francisco Cerundolo @ 74¢ | US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx ↗ | $2.8K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.