Sad-Help
Skill vs luck
Sad-Help on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$2.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 22, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sad-Help: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 22, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5ce45585570fc23e1a0cb71b6eaac06e215e62fc. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sad-Help: +$2.5K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 6 – Oct 22
- +$2.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | BUY Belinda Bencic
@ 89¢
Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic |
Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic | $1.2K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Iva Jovic @ 96¢ | Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 21 | SELL Dino Prizmic
@ 61¢
European Open: Dino Prizmic vs Damir Dzumhur |
European Open: Dino Prizmic vs Damir Dzumhur | $1.5K |
| Oct 20 | SELL Hamad Medjedovic
@ 35¢
Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima |
Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima | $1.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?