Key-Exhaust-Incision

0x08ebeac5c90bf9925d9a94f26644df438df27c6a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Key-Exhaust-Incision: +$215 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$215
return +5.1%
Settled bets
5
$4.2K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$215
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 4 BUY Team Liquid @ 98¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner $1.9K
Oct 3 BUY Natus Vincere @ 92¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner $1.2K
Oct 3 BUY GamerLegion @ 93¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Sep 23 SELL The Otter Side @ 99.9¢
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B $2.1K
Sep 23 SELL Misa Esports @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner $2.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed