Polymarket market · Sports
Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune
Resolved: Holger Rune won · See it on Polymarket ↗
24 whales traded $151K on this market since Oct 28, 56% of their buying on Hubert Hurkacz. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 4.8¢ more per share, with 96% of the size there to buy. Holger Rune won, with 27% of the whale buying on it. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$36K and 16 lost −$80K: −$44K between them. Biggest win: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, +$27K on Holger Rune. Biggest loss: Snappy-Basketball, −$23K on Hubert Hurkacz.
The whales on this market
24 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snappy-Basketball
358 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 65¢ | $23K | — | −$23K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,465 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Holger Rune @ 37¢ | $16K | — | +$27K |
| Few-Concept-Twins
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Holger Rune @ 73¢ | $5.9K | $8.0K | +$2.1K |
| Grateful-Chest
304 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 63¢ | $12K | — | −$12K |
| Euphoric-Morsel
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 78¢ | $8.0K | $3.1K | −$4.9K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,362 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 44¢ | $11K | — | −$2.6K |
| Weekly-System-Gravitas
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 67¢ | $8.4K | — | −$8.4K |
| Slow-Escape
384 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 60¢ | $7.7K | — | +$1.4K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,132 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 65¢ | $6.9K | — | −$1.3K |
| Frightened-Subsidence
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Holger Rune @ 25¢ | $2.7K | $3.9K | +$4.1K |
| Welcome-Revenue
240 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 60¢ | $5.4K | — | −$5.4K |
| Dry-Gather
38 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 65¢ | $4.4K | — | −$4.4K |
| Rotating-Beard
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 31¢ | $3.6K | — | −$3.6K |
| Spectacular-Petitioner
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 56¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Darling-Afterthought-Gambling
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 62¢ | $2.7K | — | −$2.7K |
| Powerless-Savannah
3,066 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Holger Rune @ 45¢ | $2.3K | — | +$491 |
| Sturdy-Divider
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Holger Rune @ 85¢ | $2.1K | — | +$376 |
| Trusty-Scooter
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 65¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Secondary-Nectar-Snap
18 settled bets Too few bets |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 63¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Wrathful-Row
293 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 78¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Lustrous-Tassel-Equivalent
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Tinted-Text
202 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 60¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| 0xd6f9…e95d
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Hubert Hurkacz @ 56¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| 0xd6e4…68be
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.3K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Hubert Hurkacz lost$74K56% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $4.8K sold
-
Holger Rune won$36K27% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $13K sold
-
Hubert Hurkacz lost$23K17% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) | $69K | 10 | Won: Pacers | |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) | $420K | 8 | Won: Raptors | |
| Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 | $180K | 14 | Won: Over | |
| Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur | $146K | 15 | Won: Alex de Minaur | |
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-28? | $113K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka | $68K | 7 | Won: Hugo Gaston | |
| Heat vs. Hawks | $216K | 33 | Won: Heat | |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | $317K | 23 | Won: Heat |