Few-Concept-Twins
Skill vs luck
Few-Concept-Twins on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$10K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Few-Concept-Twins: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6505158523fdd70a2b2102c6102946de27cd41b2. Data CC BY 4.0.
Few-Concept-Twins: +$10K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$10K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | SELL Under
@ 99.9¢
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 203.5 |
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 203.5 | $14K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Knicks @ 53¢ | Magic vs. Knicks ↗ | $5.2K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Knicks @ 81¢ | Magic vs. Knicks ↗ | $13K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Knicks @ 80¢ | Magic vs. Knicks ↗ | $2.1K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?