Trusty-Scooter
0x33c96d86e23e971777e9a0b59f4e21cc9e546f9a
Trusty-Scooter: +$3.4K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 62% (95% range 41%–79%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$3.4K
return +5.7%
Settled bets
21
$60K staked
Won
61.9%
95% range 41%–79%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 18 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$6.3K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime
@ 64¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | $4.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Valentin Vacherot
@ 73¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Alex Michelsen
@ 64¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsen | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Tomas Etcheverry
@ 58¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Etcheverry |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Etcheverry | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Rafael Jodar
@ 70¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar | $1.2K |
| Sep 14 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $20K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Ben Shelton
@ 69¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton |
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton | $1.5K |
| Sep 8 | BUY Karen Khachanov
@ 46¢
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien |
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.