Spectacular-Petitioner
Skill vs luck
Spectacular-Petitioner on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 14% (95% range 3%–51%) · profit −$2.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Spectacular-Petitioner: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x085ef82a0414ad89443883afa44518b4ad8c9aea. Data CC BY 4.0.
Spectacular-Petitioner: −$2.3K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 3%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- −$2.3K
In the live feed
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | SELL Lakers
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Lakers (-9.5) |
Spread: Lakers (-9.5) | $6.0K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Hubert Hurkacz @ 56¢ | Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune ↗ | $2.9K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5 |
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5 | $2.6K |
| Oct 28 | SELL B8
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: K27 vs B8 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A |
Counter-Strike: K27 vs B8 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A | $3.9K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Nemiga
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner | $4.7K |
| Oct 28 | SELL Nemiga
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner | $4.2K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Trail Blazers
@ 48¢
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) |
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | $3.0K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.