Dry-Gather
0x45e40dbee6f546c7b318498f8c9778560f5a7e20
Dry-Gather: −$6.9K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 22%–57%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$6.9K
return −7.1%
Settled bets
26
$98K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 22%–57%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 26 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$1.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Stefanos Tsitsipas
@ 68¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | $14K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 85¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard Struff | $3.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Daniil Medvedev
@ 63¢
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Jan-Lennard Struff (+1.5) |
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Jan-Lennard Struff (+1.5) | $1.8K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Karen Khachanov
@ 66¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery | $2.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Michael Zheng
@ 45¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng | $4.5K |
| Sep 29 | BUY Thiago Agustin Tirante
@ 63¢
China Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Thiago Agustin Tirante |
China Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | $3.7K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Alexandre Muller
@ 51¢
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller |
Chengdu Open: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller | $4.4K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Mattia Bellucci
@ 43¢
Hangzhou Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak |
Hangzhou Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.