Lustrous-Tassel-Equivalent
0xa2836cd31c36fabe54df526595b1b47fd55461e5
Lustrous-Tassel-Equivalent: +$11K on 27 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 48% (95% range 31%–66%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$11K
return +22.5%
Settled bets
27
$50K staked
Won
48.1%
95% range 31%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$5.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$6.3K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$4
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL
@ 56¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY
@ 79¢
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Camila Osorio AND China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Camila Osorio AND China Open: Katie Volynets vs Elise Mertens | $2.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY
@ 50¢
Porto: Naiktha Bains vs Reese Brantmeier AND Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou AND Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala |
Porto: Naiktha Bains vs Reese Brantmeier AND Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou AND Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala | $1.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY
@ 38¢
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Aleksandar Kovacevic AND Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng |
Chengdu Open: Lloyd Harris vs Aleksandar Kovacevic AND Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY
@ 51¢
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich AND Porto: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson AND Singapore Open: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandez |
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich AND Porto: Ayana Akli vs Gabriela Knutson AND Singapore Open: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandez | $2.0K |
| Sep 22 | SELL Titouan Droguet
@ 99.9¢
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Karl Poling |
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Karl Poling | $3.7K |
| Sep 22 | BUY
@ 44¢
Korea Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Yeon-Woo Ku AND Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua |
Korea Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Yeon-Woo Ku AND Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua | $2.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Daniel Merida
@ 65¢
Davis Cup: Cristian Garin vs. Daniel Merida |
Davis Cup: Cristian Garin vs. Daniel Merida | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.