Polymarket market · Sports
Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur
Resolved: Alex de Minaur won · See it on Polymarket ↗
15 whales traded $146K on this market since Oct 28, 76% of their buying on Alex de Minaur. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 2.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Alex de Minaur won, with 76% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$19K and 4 lost −$31K: −$12K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$7.8K on Alex de Minaur. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$17K on Learner Tien.
The whales on this market
15 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
1,111 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Alex de Minaur @ 89¢ | $63K | — | +$7.8K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,474 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Learner Tien @ 40¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Euphoric-Morsel
14 settled bets Too few bets |
Alex de Minaur @ 92¢ | $7.5K | $8.1K | +$652 |
| Quixotic-Brow
240 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 50¢ | $10K | — | −$10K |
| Naughty-Tab
157 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 93¢ | $8.7K | — | +$664 |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
5,348 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 93¢ | $6.8K | — | +$552 |
| Luminous-Collision
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 52¢ | $2.1K | $4.0K | +$1.9K |
| Snappy-Basketball
363 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Alex de Minaur @ 53¢ | $5.6K | — | +$4.9K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,387 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Alex de Minaur @ 69¢ | $2.8K | — | +$1.3K |
| Tame-Ethyl
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K | — |
| Bumpy-Burden
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 49¢ | $2.0K | — | −$2.0K |
| Guilty-Aide
64 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Rusty-Birdwatcher-Idea
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex de Minaur @ 53¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.2K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Learner Tien @ 49¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Dirty-Premeditation-Elicit
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.2K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Alex de Minaur won$97K76% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $16K sold
-
Learner Tien lost$31K24% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.9K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793343609).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest: Hugo Gaston vs Daniil Glinka | $68K | 7 | Won: Hugo Gaston | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune | $151K | 24 | Won: Holger Rune | |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) | $69K | 10 | Won: Pacers | |
| Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | $50K | 10 | Won: Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert | $91K | 17 | Won: Novak Djokovic | |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) | $420K | 8 | Won: Raptors | |
| Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5 | $180K | 14 | Won: Over | |
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-10-28? | $113K | 10 | Won: No |