Polymarket market · Sports
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen
Resolved: Carlos Alcaraz won · See it on Polymarket ↗
29 whales put $133K into this market since Oct 1, 87% of their buying on Carlos Alcaraz. Carlos Alcaraz won. Of the 22 whales whose whole position we captured, 18 made +$11K and 4 lost −$10K: +$476 between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 29| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustrious-Budget
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 86¢ | $21K | — | +$3.4K |
| Distant-Tunnel
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 91¢ | $7.1K | $5.9K | +$469 |
| Quixotic-Brow
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex Michelsen @ 17¢ | $6.5K | $3.0K | −$3.5K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 98¢ | $8.7K | — | +$149 |
| Knowledgeable-Steel
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $7.9K | — |
| Back-Shoemaker
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $7.5K | — | +$7 |
| Jolly-Grove
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 64¢ | $2.6K | $4.1K | — |
| Distant-Pomelo
127 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 81¢ | $6.3K | — | +$1.5K |
| Far-Off-Candidate
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 81¢ | $5.5K | — | +$1.3K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 97¢ | $5.3K | — | +$170 |
| 0xa0f2…1848
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 84¢ | $5.0K | — | +$944 |
| Dimpled-Fishbone
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 91¢ | $3.6K | — | +$360 |
| Stormy-Influence
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Alex Michelsen @ 26¢ | $3.6K | — | −$3.6K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 84¢ | $3.6K | — | +$680 |
| Worrisome-Winery
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Mad-Wound
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 84¢ | $2.5K | — | +$476 |
| Grateful-Chest
183 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alex Michelsen @ 23¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| High-Antling-Tactile
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 84¢ | $2.1K | — | +$400 |
| Forked-Pricing
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 95¢ | $2.1K | — | +$108 |
| Weird-Punishment
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 86¢ | $2.0K | — | +$326 |
| Mellow-Settlement
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Carlos Alcaraz @ 94¢ | $1.9K | — | +$128 |
| Admired-Packet
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Velvety-Almighty
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Dear-Workplace
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Carlos Alcaraz won$90K87% of whale buying · 19 buyers · $25K sold
-
Alex Michelsen lost$13K13% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $4.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).