Polymarket market · Sports

China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev

Resolved: Andrey Rublev won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales put $52K into this market since Oct 1, 80% of their buying on Andrey Rublev. Andrey Rublev won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$21K and 5 lost −$8.1K: +$13K between them.

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Snappy-Basketball
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 56¢ $19K — +$15K
Snoopy-Feature
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 80¢ $6.7K — +$1.7K
Naughty-Tab
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Yawning-Chicken
241 settled bets Worse than the odds
Tallon Griekspoor @ 38¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 78¢ $2.3K — +$648
Welcome-Revenue
215 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 85¢ $2.3K — +$405
Tart-Sleep-Possible
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Favorite-Cave-Muscat
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tallon Griekspoor @ 37¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Grateful-Chest
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Lopsided-Overexertion
26 settled bets Too few bets
Tallon Griekspoor @ 30¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Exalted-Evocation
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Andrey Rublev @ 53¢ $1.5K — +$1.3K
Nifty-Midden
3 settled bets Too few bets
Andrey Rublev @ 50¢ $1.5K — +$1.5K
Forsaken-Galley
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tallon Griekspoor @ 47¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Jolly-Grove
58 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Cumbersome-Dock-Shield
58 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Favorable-Neuron
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tallon Griekspoor @ 52¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Flawed-Infinite
200 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Andrey Rublev won
    $33K
    80% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $5.5K sold
  2. Tallon Griekspoor lost
    $8.1K
    20% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $5.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed