Mellow-Settlement
0x9b559c039873cd794668492af33b748b6b0a1167
Mellow-Settlement: −$4.2K on 71 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 82% (95% range 71%–89%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$4.2K
return −2.7%
Settled bets
71
$156K staked
Won
81.7%
95% range 71%–89%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 62 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$566
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.4K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$2.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Iowa
@ 95¢
Iowa vs. Washington |
Iowa vs. Washington | $6.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Under
@ 91¢
Columbia vs. Marist: O/U 59.5 |
Columbia vs. Marist: O/U 59.5 | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? |
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | $2.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 99.6¢
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $1.2K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 97¢
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? |
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Under
@ 83¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 | $2.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06? |
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06? | $2.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 99.7¢
Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%? |
Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%? | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.