Velvety-Almighty

0x2127cf49b244b867356cb011d55a5668563237f2

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Velvety-Almighty: −$283 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 19%–81%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$283
return −6.8%
Settled bets
6
$4.2K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 19%–81%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$480
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$587
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY Rafael Jodar @ 81¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar $1.3K
Oct 1 SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 99.9¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen $1.5K
Sep 15 SELL Yes @ 96¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? $2.3K
Sep 12 BUY No @ 87¢
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12?
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? $1.3K
Sep 8 SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 35¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen $1.1K
Sep 4 BUY Marta Kostyuk @ 76¢
US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova $1.5K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed