Polymarket market · Sports
China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez
Resolved: Juncheng Shang won · See it on Polymarket ↗
20 whales put $120K into this market since Sep 30, 54% of their buying on Juncheng Shang. Juncheng Shang won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$26K and 6 lost −$30K: −$3.8K between them.
The whales on this market
20 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grateful-Chest
183 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juncheng Shang @ 47¢ | $19K | $11K | +$6.5K |
| Lost-Sage-Zootsuit
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Sebastian Baez @ 53¢ | $22K | — | −$22K |
| Minor-Donut-Candelabra
80 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Juncheng Shang @ 57¢ | $5.2K | $9.3K | +$4.0K |
| 0x760f…326a
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juncheng Shang @ 45¢ | $10K | — | +$12K |
| Jolly-Grove
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.4K | — |
| Naughty-Tab
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juncheng Shang @ 85¢ | $2.1K | $3.2K | — |
| Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juncheng Shang @ 53¢ | $4.0K | — | +$3.6K |
| Favorite-Cave-Muscat
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juncheng Shang @ 97¢ | $3.8K | — | +$109 |
| Lopsided-Overexertion
22 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K | — |
| Revolving-Vinyl-Average
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Pointed-Length
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juncheng Shang @ 54¢ | $2.6K | — | −$73 |
| Unlined-Observation
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Sebastian Baez @ 54¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat
163 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Sebastian Baez @ 43¢ | $2.3K | — | −$2.3K |
| Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Sebastian Baez @ 46¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| 0xe98c…8792
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Sebastian Baez @ 34¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Excellent-Figure
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Stupendous-Chest
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Cumbersome-Dock-Shield
57 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Juncheng Shang won$41K54% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $34K sold
-
Sebastian Baez lost$36K47% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $9.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).