Carefree-Activist
0x05ede65980909056e407a42ddf0bf3a9b5d4bf70
Carefree-Activist: +$99 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$99
return +8.9%
Settled bets
3
$1.1K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 6%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$103
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 90¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $1.8K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 91¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $3.6K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 90¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 91¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $2.1K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 93¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $3.9K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 93¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $10K |
| Sep 22 | SELL No
@ 93¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | $2.0K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 90¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | $1.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.