Polymarket market · Sports
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
Resolved: Harriet Dart won · See it on Polymarket ↗
31 whales traded $169K on this market since Oct 31, 56% of their buying on Xinran Sun. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 3.4¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Harriet Dart won, with 44% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$27K and 7 lost −$37K: −$9.8K between them. Biggest win: Ajar-Thief-Rooster, +$11K on Harriet Dart. Biggest loss: Snappy-Basketball, −$20K on Xinran Sun.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 31| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meager-Flair-Wait
112 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $24K | — |
| Snappy-Basketball
377 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Xinran Sun @ 63¢ | $20K | — | −$20K |
| Naughty-Tab
168 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 46¢ | $10K | $9.6K | — |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
5,811 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Harriet Dart @ 78¢ | $10K | — | −$148 |
| Giant-Window
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 80¢ | $9.6K | — | −$1.3K |
| Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
163 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 54¢ | $3.0K | $4.7K | — |
| Prestigious-Produce
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Harriet Dart @ 87¢ | $3.5K | $4.2K | — |
| Excellent-Figure
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Harriet Dart @ 27¢ | $2.2K | $4.1K | +$3.2K |
| Limited-Dragonfruit
61 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 69¢ | $6.3K | — | −$6.3K |
| Ajar-Thief-Rooster
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Harriet Dart @ 34¢ | $5.8K | — | +$11K |
| Sparkling-Dynamite
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Harriet Dart @ 38¢ | $1.5K | $4.0K | +$2.5K |
| Harmless-Region
280 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.7K | — |
| Grateful-Chest
329 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 53¢ | $4.2K | — | −$4.2K |
| Hurtful-Nonconformist
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.8K | — |
| Lined-Liquid
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Harriet Dart @ 38¢ | $2.0K | $1.6K | — |
| Plain-Apparatus-Acre
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 76¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Substantial-Service
1,166 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Harriet Dart @ 48¢ | $3.5K | — | +$3.8K |
| Wordy-Dinosaur
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Harriet Dart @ 99.88¢ | $3.0K | — | +$4 |
| Glaring-Salt
2,277 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Harriet Dart @ 47¢ | $2.3K | — | +$2.5K |
| Pointed-Length
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Harriet Dart @ 92¢ | $2.0K | — | +$174 |
| Feline-Spot
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Knowledgeable-Steel
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Monstrous-Dew
534 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Sturdy-Overheard
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 90¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Important-Deed-Nestmate
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Xinran Sun lost$55K56% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $9.9K sold
-
Harriet Dart won$42K44% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $62K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31? | $72K | 16 | Won: No | |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 | $61K | 4 | Won: Under | |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | $111K | 17 | Won: Under | |
| Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5 | $85K | 4 | Won: Over | |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | $338K | 46 | Won: Yes | |
| Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi | $190K | 15 | Won: Benjamin Bonzi | |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 | $149K | 9 | Won: Under | |
| Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz | $165K | 16 | Won: Carlos Alcaraz |