Polymarket market · Sports
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa
Resolved: Xinran Sun won · See it on Polymarket ↗
26 whales put $168K into this market since Oct 3, 65% of their buying on Cristina Bucsa. Xinran Sun won. Of the 20 whales whose whole position we captured, 9 made +$49K and 11 lost −$91K: −$42K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 26| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cristina Bucsa @ 66¢ | $51K | — | −$51K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Xinran Sun @ 50¢ | $20K | — | +$1.5K |
| Quixotic-Brow
128 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 34¢ | $17K | — | +$34K |
| Meager-Flair-Wait
54 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Cristina Bucsa @ 40¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| 0x78be…bde0
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 58¢ | $8.0K | — | +$5.8K |
| Slow-Escape
336 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Cristina Bucsa @ 64¢ | $5.8K | — | −$5.8K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cristina Bucsa @ 67¢ | $5.6K | — | −$5.6K |
| Oval-Maternity
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cristina Bucsa @ 69¢ | $4.1K | — | −$4.1K |
| Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cristina Bucsa @ 64¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Giant-Window
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Xinran Sun @ 72¢ | $3.3K | — | −$364 |
| Metallic-Stacking
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Xinran Sun @ 80¢ | $3.2K | — | +$816 |
| All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Xinran Sun @ 95¢ | $3.0K | — | +$160 |
| Specific-Operating
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 68¢ | $3.0K | — | +$1.4K |
| 0x4fdc…ca1f
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 37¢ | $2.9K | — | +$4.9K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cristina Bucsa @ 70¢ | $2.8K | — | −$1.0K |
| Red-Constitution
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 95¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$65 |
| Dependent-Infiltration
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cristina Bucsa @ 53¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Grateful-Chest
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Xinran Sun @ 72¢ | $2.3K | — | +$880 |
| 0xa3ae…aca3
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Used-Tugboat
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Favorite-Cave-Muscat
52 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Cristina Bucsa @ 54¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Admired-Chaos
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.6K | — |
| Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Experienced-War-Curl
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Ready-Airbus-Honor
9 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Cristina Bucsa lost$102K65% of whale buying · 12 buyers
-
Xinran Sun won$55K35% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $11K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).